DSTI/ICCP/TISP(2004)2/FINAL
There was a decrease of around 3.3 million decrease in the number of registrations for
.com, .net
and
.org
in the first half of 2002
(Table 9)
. The number of
.com
registrations during this period was
especially hard hit, recording a reduction of nearly 2.2 million registrations. Several possible explanations
exist. The most optimistic scenario would be that users who could not ascertain their preference under one
of the original gTLDs transferred to a new gTLD. A more pessimistic explanation might be that the end of
the so called `Internet bubble' led to a significant number of domain names being allowed to lapse. The
introduction of new gTLDs showed that such a development was possible, a fact that speculators no doubt
factored into their activities. Some speculators may have allowed a proportion of their registrations to lapse
in response to a perceived lack of demand or decrease in scarcity. Speculators may have also shifted their
focus to the new gTLDs prior to demand being tested in that market segment. In any event the primary and
secondary market for
.com
, and the other traditional domains, proved to be resilient. Currently
.com
names
still command the highest values followed by
.net
, some national domains and
.org
.
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The market for the original gTLDs registration had recovered within a year. The number of
registrations under
.com
regained an increase in the later half of 2002 and has grown by more than a
million per half year since that time.
Registrations under new gTLDs made steady increases, following their introduction, until the final
quarter of 2003
(Table 10)
. The proportion of new gTLDs registration among total gTLDs registration also
grew steadily until the final quarter of 2003
(Figure 9)
. At the end of 2003, new gTLDs accounted for
around 6.5% of the total gTLDs registration. On the other hand, the number of registrations under
.info
and
.biz
decreased in December 2003. It is too early to conclude that new gTLDs have reached their peak
as unofficial data indicated some growth in the first quarter of 2004. However it does raise the question of
why the original gTLDs continued to grow at a time of a reduction in the number of registrations under
new gTLDs. One explanation may be that a significant number of registrations, which had been made by
speculators in the early period of availability, were allowed to lapse.
Table 8. The number of gTLDs registrations in bi annual time series
Total .com .net .org .info .biz .name
July 2001
32 079 997
24 264 064
4 748 370
3 067 563
Jan 2002
32 339 459
24 717 455
4 629 289
2 992 715
July 2002
30 731 874
22 526 354
3 907 160
2 553 817
926 769
735 766
82 008
Jan 2003
32 402 140
23 662 001
4 060 182
2 674 286
1 049 839
858 945
96 887
July 2003
34 635 853
25 260 438
4 226 821
2 867 551
1 173 714
999 009
108 320
Dec 2003
36 851 022
27 035 869
4 515 550
3 015 179
1 164 136
1 004 118
116 170
Source
: Registries, Monthly Reports and JPNIC.
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Table 9. Changes in the number of gTLDs registrations in bi annual time series
Total
.com
.net
.org
.info
.biz
.name
Q3 Q4, 2001
259 462
453 391
119 081
74 848
Q1 Q2, 2002
1 607 585
2 191 101
722 129
438 898
926 769
735 766
82 008
Q3 Q4, 2002
1 670 266
1 135 647
153 022
120 469
123 070
123 179
14 879
Q1 Q2, 2003
2 233 713
1 598 437
166 639
193 265
123 875
140 064
11 433
Q3 Q4, 2003
2 215 169
1 775 431
288 729
147 628
9 578
5 109
7 850
Source
: Registries Monthly Reports and JPNIC.
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